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As rates rise, brace for mortgage renewal time – Consult with Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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ROB CARRICK– The Globe and Mail

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In some cases, homeowners can actually save money by breaking a mortgage with a year left on the contract.
(Gloria Nieto/The Globe and Mail)

The era of pleasant surprises for people renewing their mortgages is over.

After five years of trending lower, mortgage rates have reversed course and started to rise. Aspiring first-time home buyers are being priced out of the market by these increases, but at least they’ve avoided a costly mortgage entanglement. Existing homeowners may simply have to pay more.

Current fixed rates are still lower than they were five years ago, but it’s a different story with the once-popular variable rate mortgage. Veteran mortgage broker Vince Gaetano ofMonsterMortgage.ca says he has clients coming in with maturing variable-rate mortgages at 2.1 or 2.2 per cent, an all-time great deal. “They know their cash flow is going to get crunched,” he said.

A variable-rate mortgage goes for 2.6 per cent with a good discount these days, while a fully discounted five-year fixed rate mortgage rate has risen to 3.49 per cent from 2.89 per cent a few months back. Over the decades you own a house, you’ll win some at mortgage renewal time and you’ll lose some. We’ve had quite the winning streak in recent years for people renewing at lower rates, but now it’s coming to an end.

In the years ahead, the biggest financial mistake you make just might be failing to think well in advance about a mortgage coming up for renewal. You have options: Your lender may let you renew early (within 90 days) into a new five-year term, or you may be able to do a “blend and extend.” That’s where you convert the remains of your existing fixed-rate mortgage into a new loan with a blended interest rate. We’ll look at a more aggressive strategy suggested by Mr. Gaetano in a minute.

But first, there’s the question of how people will afford higher mortgage payments. We’ve been assured by people in the mortgage industry that homeowners can absorb higher mortgage payments. A 2011 report from the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals said there is “very substantial room” for households to pay higher mortgage rates. Will Dunning, CAAMP’s chief economist, said Monday that he stands by that view.

But the issue is not whether you can afford higher mortgage payments. Rather, it’s what you’ll have to sacrifice to make them. Mr. Dunning’s take: “Discretionary spending disappears. A lot of that is in the service sector – people going to coffee shops and restaurants.”

With the need for future sacrifices in mind, let’s look at a strategy suggested by Mr. Gaetano for lessening the impact of renewing a big mortgage at a higher rate. The plan: Break your existing mortgage a few months before the renewal date and refinance at current rates so you avoid higher costs in the future.

Let’s say your mortgage is coming up for renewal in six months, which leaves plenty of time for more rate increases. Start by getting a commitment from your lender to hold today’s best discounted five-year fixed mortgage rate for 120 days. Then, wait until two to three months before renewal to break the mortgage.

Yes, there will be penalties. But by waiting until just a few months before the renewal date, you’ll minimize them. It’s also important to understand that rising rates may actually reduce your penalty.

Penalties on fixed-rate mortgages are usually equivalent to the higher of three months’ worth of interest (Mr. Gaetano said two months’ interest would be charged if you had only two months to go) or a calculation called the interest rate differential, or IRD. Among the factors that go into the IRD are the rate on your existing mortgage and the rate the lender can get today. If rates are rising, then your IRD should decline.

Mr. Gaetano said an additional $1,000 or so in legal fees would apply if you broke your mortgage and took it to another lender. Even so, he thinks borrowers will end up saving money if the balance on their mortgage is more than $200,000 to $250,000 and the difference between the rate on hold for them and market rates is roughly 0.4 of a percentage point or more.

In some cases, it can pay to break a mortgage with even a year to go. Mr. Gaetano said he has clients who owed $980,000 on a mortgage maturing next June 1, with an interest rate of 3.79 per cent. Earlier this summer, he secured a 120-day hold on a 2.89 per cent mortgage. With five-year fixed rates now at 3.49 per cent, the strategy plays out as: Total costs of $8,428 or so in penalties and legal fees versus interest cost savings of $27,766. Net benefit to the clients: Savings of more than $19,300.

For more personal finance coverage, follow Rob Carrick on Twitter (@rcarrick) and Facebook (robcarrickfinance).

Vancouver Home Mortgage Closing Costs – Consult with Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Vancouver Home Mortgage Closing Costs

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerMany first time home buyers in Vancouver might not be fully aware about what is involved in closing costs. Although you might have factored in your down payment and what you will be paying for the mortgage, there are also some relatively expensive closing costs that you need to have included in you budget.

The closing costs that you need to consider are not included in just a single payment but include a host of different entities that are involved in the purchase of a new home.

How Expensive Are Closing Costs?

This is some variance in how expensive closing costs can range but most mortgage experts suggest that you budget anywhere from 1 % to as high as 2.5 % of the purchase value of the home you are buying.

This means that if you are buying a home worth $500,000 you might have to budget yourself for an additional $5,000 to as much as $12,500 to have on hand to cover all your closing costs.

These closing costs will not occur all at once, and will be spread out through the mortgage application, approval and closing process.

What do Vancouver Closing Costs Include?

Here are the most common items that comprise closing costs and extra expenses that you will incur.

·         Appraisal Fee

This is the fee the bank charges to have the new home appraised. The bank will initially absorb the cost but ultimately they will bill you for it in their closing cost statement.

·         Your Credit Report

When you apply for a mortgage, the lender will always perform a credit check on you and you will be charged for obtaining this report.

·         Fees for Mortgage Application and Processing

You will be charged a fee by the lender for processing the mortgage application.

·         Cost of a Property Survey

Any home being purchased will require a property survey to be performed so that it includes any improvements which have been added since the last survey and which will affect the amount of property taxes levied by the municipality.

·         Home Mortgage Insurance and PST/GST

 If your down payment is less than 20% of the purchase value of the home then you will be required by the lender to incur the additional expense of mortgage insurance. This will be an expense above and beyond the amount you will be paying for your mortgage and will be added onto your mortgage balance.

·         Property Title Insurance

Most lenders will also require that you obtain property title insurance should you incur any legal claims against your title of property ownership.

·         Disbursements and Legal Expenses

When a property is purchased you will require using the services of either a notary public or a real estate lawyer to represent your interests when buying a property.

·         Land Registry Tax

When the title if a property is transferred you will also have to pay the tax which is levied by the province for this transference.

·         Home Inspection

You will most likely use the services of a licensed home inspector before you take possession of the home to ensure there are not any major structural or other problems. This expense may cost from between $300.00 to as much as $450.00.

·         Adjustment on your Interest

Should you obtain your mortgage before month’s end, you may also be responsible to incur the interest cost for the remaining portion of that particular month.

·         Life and Home Insurance

Most lenders require that you have sufficient life insurance on your mortgage so that it will be covered if you die unexpectedly. Also, you will be required to get a home insurance property to cover the home should it be damaged or destroyed as a result of a loss. You will also want to include your personal possessions in an insurance package.

Additional Closing Costs

Most of the closing costs listed above are fairly standard for any home purchase but there may be additional cost which you will be responsible for the following:

·         Expenses for Levies

If you are moving into a new subdivision an additional levy may also be charged by the municipality.

·         Warranty for New Homes

Most new homes which are constructed require that you also buy a warranty to ensure that the builder has built the home in accordance to provincial regulations.

 

Home shoppers, don’t rush to buy just to lock in a cheap mortgage – Consult with Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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ROBERT MCLISTER– Special to The Globe and Mail

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House for sale in a Toronto neighbourhood, August 27, 2013.
(Gloria Nieto/The Globe and Mail)

The idea that low mortgage rates are gone forever sent Canadian home shoppers into a panic this summer. Thousands rushed to use their rock-bottom pre-approved mortgage rates and buy a home, contributing to a20 to 50 per cent spike in sales last month in Canada’s biggest housing markets.

But how logical is rushing to buy a house simply because mortgage rates have risen?

Rates today

For the past few months, consumers have been bombarded with comments like this:

“I think this is the real thing. This is the end of extremely low interest rates.” – Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist at CIBC World Markets

Not surprisingly, many folks who read such comments head immediately to their bank or broker and lock in a rate for 90 or 120 days. Those 90-120 days fly by, which adds to their perceived urgency to buy.

But the reality is that by all historical measures, mortgage rates are still extraordinary and could remain so for a while. Take for example the most popular term, the five-year fixed, for example. Data from RateHub.ca shows that since 2006, the average discounted five-year mortgage has been 4.11 per cent. (See this attached chart for more details.) Since 1991 (the modern era of monetary policy), the average has been north of 6 per cent, reaching a high of more than 10 per cent in 1991.

Yet, even after this summer’s big bump in rates, it’s still possible to snare a five-year rate at 3.39 per cent or less. That’s just a short stroll from the historically low 2.99 per cent rates that garnered headlines for months.

And while the uptrend in rates may continue, there’s nothing to say they won’t reverse lower. We’ve seen three major fake outs in rates over the past five years and we remain in a low-inflation modest-growth environment. Until it’s clear that the Bank of Canada will start lifting its key lending rate, fixed mortgage rates will gyrate to the ups and downsof the bond markets and North American economy.

Pay less interest. Pay more for a home?

“Buying the same house will be more expensive this fall than this spring,” National Bank Financial’s Peter Routledge told the Globe and Mail last month. But analysts point to a range of factors that could moderate home prices in the next six months, including higher interest rates, growing supply, modest income growth and stricter mortgage regulations. Canada’s banking regulator is weighing new mortgage rulesas we speak.

Rates are the biggest wild card and the No. 1 factor that could put the brakes on home prices. Higher mortgage rates immediately make it harder for budget-strapped buyers to qualify for a mortgage. That’s why – other things being equal – as rates increase, prices usually decrease.

So if home prices potentially face headwinds, does it really make sense to run out, compete with a stampede of other buyers and purchase a home?

Economists like Toronto-Dominion Bank’s Craig Alexander projectanother half-point rate jump in five-year fixed rates next year. Based on CREA’s average Canadian home price and a 5 per cent down payment, that half-point would cost home buyers $8,900 more interest over five years versus today’s rates, assuming an equally priced home.

What are the chances that rushing to buy now will cost you at least $8,900 more and/or cause you to settle for a less than ideal property?

The right strategy

Knee-jerk decisions tend to be costly when it comes to personal finance, be it with investing, buying insurance, or getting a mortgage. If you’re in the market for a new home, get one or more 120-day pre-approvals to protect yourself from rate increases and reset them every few months as necessary.

Then take your time, block out the rate chatter, and wait for a property that’s the perfect long-term fit… and good value. Canadians live in their homes an average of five to 10 years. That’s a long time to live with a rushed decision.

On Thursday at noon (ET), Robert McLister will take your questions in a live online chat. To join the discussion, click here.

Robert McLister is the editor of CanadianMortgageTrends.com and a mortgage planner at VERICO intelliMortgage, a mortgage brokerage. You can also follow him on twitter at @CdnMortgageNews.

Using a Co-Signer for your Vancouver Home Mortgage

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Using a Co-Signer for your Vancouver Home Mortgage

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerSometimes, getting an approval on your first Vancouver home mortgage has an extra hurdle that you might not have expected. The lender might be prepared to approve your mortgage providing that you have a co-signer. If that happens, you might be wondering what that entails and how it works.

Why a Lender Might Require a Co-Signer

There are several reasons a lender could insist on having a co-signer on your mortgage. The first thing to know is that you should not be discouraged by this request. It simply means that the mortgage lender is not entirely comfortable with your financial or employment situation.

You might only recently have been employed on your job or your employment history might be somewhat scant. Another reason is that you might be somewhat borderline when it comes to how the lender calculates your budget according to your debt ratio and your ability to comfortably handle mortgage payments. It could be you might not have much of a credit history or possibly due to some other reason such as your being self-employed for example.

The lender simply wants to be assured that the mortgage will be more fully secured. The fact that they are still considering you for a mortgage should be taken as a positive sign. You simply have to take that one extra step in order to secure your mortgage.

Responsibility of a Co-Signer

What are the responsibilities and what is the role of a co-signer on a mortgage? The co-signer is the person you’ve approached agreed to take on this very important role to secure the approval of your mortgage.

Most people who use need a co-signer generally use a family member such as a parent or sibling. You must be fully aware that if you renege on your mortgage payments, the co-signer assumes full and complete responsibility for making these payments.

A co-signer should not assume this responsibility lightly as the consequences could have a significant impact on their own financial situation and even on their credit rating should they not be able to fulfill this role.

You must be very clear on your own financial circumstances and only proceed with this route if you have complete confidence about your ability to pay the mortgage loan.

What a Lender Wants for a Co-Signer

A lender will not let just anyone be a co-signer. Essentially, a co-signer must also qualify for the mortgage in the same manner that you were initially approved. The lender will also carefully scrutinize the credit history, employment and income and debt capacity of the co-signer before they will approve the mortgage. So, you must choose your co-signer carefully if you wish to succeed in getting approved.

Removing a Co-Signer from a Mortgage

Should your financial situation improve you also have the option of removing a co-singer from your mortgage. This will be subject to the requirements of your particular lender. They may simply go ahead and do so or you may possibly have to apply for a new mortgage if the term has not fully expired.

You should also be aware that a co-signer also has the right to ask the lender to remove them from a mortgage which may require that you have to re-apply for a new mortgage or seek a mortgage elsewhere.

A Co-Signer can Also be a Co-Borrower

If you have problems in finding someone who meets the qualifications of a co-singer, there is also an alternative you might consider – using a potential candidate as a co-borrower instead.

A co-borrower would be considered as a co-owner of the property because you would be using your combined incomes as a means to pay the mortgage. This also requires that the name of the co-borrower is included on the property title, and jointly owns the property with you even though they don’t reside in the home.

If your financial situation improves, you can reapply for a mortgage and remove the co-borrower from the title and from the mortgage. A co-borrower doesn’t actually have to pay anything towards a mortgage but you must remember they are still a co-owner of the property so you must be fully aware of any potential legal ramifications before you opt for this type of mortgage arrangement.

 

Explaining How a Vancouver Second Mortgage Works – Ask Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Explaining How a Vancouver Second Mortgage Works

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerThe two main reasons people invest their hard earned money into buying a home is because not only can you make money from the appreciation, but also from the equity that you build over time.

As you pay down your first mortgage and as your home appreciates the equity in your home and build quite rapidly.

What is Equity?

Basically, equity is simply what the market price of your home is worth minus the outstanding amount left on your existing first mortgage. For example, if your home is worth $500,000 and your first mortgage has been paid down to $300,000, then you have $200,000 worth of equity in your home.

This is also the profit you would realize if you sold your home right now.

A Second Mortgage is Based on Your Equity

The equity that you have built up is also something that you borrow against. When you use this equity to borrow money from the mortgage lender or some other lender, it is called a second mortgage.

How Much Can Your Borrow?

The amount on money that you can borrow on a second mortgage may vary from lender to lender but as a general rule of thumb, most lenders will allow you to borrow up to 80% worth of your equity.

Also, many lenders won’t consider you for second mortgage if you have less than 20% worth of equity accumulated in your home.

Types of Second Mortgages

There are two basic types of second mortgages and it’s important to know the difference.

The first type of second mortgage is simply what the name implies as it is known as a second mortgage. You essentially borrow a specific amount of the equity such as $25,000 and that is what the loan is structured upon.

The second type of mortgage is known as a “HELOC” which is an acronym for “Home Equity Line of Credit.”  With this type of second mortgage you are extended a line of credit up to the amount you want to borrow. You have the option of taking out specific amounts as you need the money and when you need it.

A HELOC is especially useful if you are performing major home renovations such as re-doing the kitchen o using it for several home renovation projects.

How to Apply for a Second Mortgage

Basically, you apply for a second mortgage in the same manner that you applied for your first mortgage. You will go through the same type of application process and will have to pretty much submit the same type of paperwork, so you should update all your information beforehand.

You don’t necessarily have to use the same lender as the one with whom you have your first mortgage, but that is a normal practice used by many people. The lender knows you and may be more comfortable in giving you approval. However, you might consider using a mortgage broker to do some shopping around because you might find a better rate.

 Things to Know about a Second Mortgage

The first thing you should know is that interest rates for second mortgages are almost always higher than what you are paying for your first mortgage. The second thing is that payments must always be made as fastidiously as you pay for your first mortgage.

So, it is vital you do some serious number crunching before you take out the loan. You are using your home as collateral and if you renege on your payments the lender would have the capacity to foreclose on your home.

 

 

How to make money investing in real estate – Consult with Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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There are several ways to invest in real estate including secondary properties, real estate income trusts and alternatives such as real estate limited partnerships.

Don Campbell thinks everyone should consider real estate. Of course, you’d expect him to think that given his firm has advised clients on real estate purchases of more than $4 billion. The senior analyst at the Real Estate Investment Network in Vancouver, says every investor should be pondering where they can fit real estate into their overall strategy given the volatilities and uncertainties of the equities market.

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“A portion of your portfolio should be in housing or hard assets,” he says. “Our clients lean towards owning their own homes and direct real estate. Our philosophy is that a good piece of real estate is like a blue chip stock. It won’t make you rich overnight, but it will perform well.”

Many investors already own their own homes or are paying off mortgages, so they have a sizeable portion of their overall net worth tied to a hard asset. But there are several other ways to invest in real estate including secondary properties, real estate income trusts and alternatives such as real estate limited partnerships. The key thing to remember is that no one asset type should take up more than 50% of an investor’s portfolio, but how you get to that level can be dramatically different from person to person.

Home ownership and secondary properties

At a time when condo sales in Toronto were reported to have fallen 18% year-over-year, many raised the question of whether residential property, be it a primary residence, second home or vacation place, is actually an investment. Some, like David Kaufman, CEO of Toronto-based Westcourt Capital Corp., simply don’t see homes as investment options. “A lot of people treat their primary residence as an investment, but they aren’t in a traditional way,” Kaufman says. “One of the things people forget is that if you live in an appreciating area, unless you are willing to exit the market and move to some other area, it is hard to make money on it.”

Tyler Anderson/National Post”Once you . . . recognize you can pay someone 7% for looking after the place and that there aren’t that many issues that come up anyway, then you can put it in your portfolio like your other investments,” says one analyst.

Kaufman adds many think they’ll always make money off their properties because of the leverage involved and the long-term growth of real estate prices in recent years. “They think real estate will always go up in value ahead of inflation, but that assumption must be fallacious at some point,” he says. “The music has to stop when there’s no real estate affordable for people to live in.”

But Campbell thinks you can make smart real estate investments by looking at trends in the area you are buying into. He says buyers must look at more than current real estate values and investigate other issues such as job growth in the region, GDP growth and economic development to determine whether those factors will positively impact prices. “If you are going to buy, buy where job growth and GDP growth is,” he says. “Don’t buy cheap, but where long-term demand is good.”

As for vacation properties, Wayman Crosby, CEO of Nicola Crosby Real Estate Asset Management Ltd. in Vancouver, says although prices have dramatically risen in the past decade, expenses have also increased and need to be considered. “Costs associated with vacation properties are often greater than a primary home,” he says, adding that funding the costs associated with these properties are done in after-tax dollars. “My belief is that the market for recreational properties may have peaked and, given the costs, no longer represents the kind of investment opportunity of the past.”

Some pundits claim personal real estate isn’t a very liquid investment, and is limiting for those who may need access to capital. Campbell disagrees. “If you need to sell a piece of property, you can,“ he says. “But if you want to squeeze the last nickel out of it, it might appear illiquid. Canadians have this incredible emotional attachment to property. But once you get by that and recognize you can pay someone 7% for looking after the place and that there aren’t that many issues that come up anyway, then you can put it in your portfolio like your other investments.“

The REIT Conundrum

Real estate income trusts have long been considered a safe way for the average investor to gain exposure to the property market. Experts, however, see REITs as investment vehicles that are linked to the volatility of the overall stock market. Yes, REITs offer liquidity, but they come with a series of potential pitfalls, Kaufman says. His company is concerned REITs can be readily affected by equity market trends as well as by interest rates. For example, many Canadian REITs were hit hard by rising interest rates in May, with several showing declines of more than 5% in the months that have followed. Kaufman isn’t sure the damage is complete.

“We have fears that we will witness that the publicly traded REIT market could face volatility that vastly exceeds the volatility of the stock market because it has three elements affecting value,” he says. “There’s the net asset value, there’s the stock market and the effect of rising interest rates that operate independently of the stock market. You could have a double whammy.”

Crosby agrees REITs are linked to market sentiments, and at some points in recent history represented a discount to the underlying real estate values. However, many REITs more recently have traded above the value of the underlying property as investors chased distributions.

Campbell says you have to do your research if you chose to invest in REITs: Find out where and what they are buying. What is the strategy? Are they speculating on higher-risk turnarounds or relatively safe investments such as apartments and commercial properties? “Why would I dramatically increase my risk for the small chance of a greater return? You need to understand where they are putting your money,” he says.

The RELP Opportunity

Investment advisors looking to open up real estate possibilities for clients are increasingly pondering the option of real estate limited partnerships, which are essentially privately-held versions of REITs. Some provinces have rules that make it easier to invest in these real estate options, but in Ontario you have to be an “accredited investor” with assets exceeding $1 million or a household income of more than $350,000 to invest in RELPs.

Kaufman likes the RELP opportunity because it isn’t tied to the public markets, thereby limiting the volatility that commonly plagues REITs, while still typically offering a total return in the 10% range. “The reason some pooh-pooh them is because they say these REITs aren’t publicly traded,” he says. “I say I don’t care. If I’m able to redeem at the net asset value rather than some price set by some day trader in his pajamas from his basement, then that’s what I care about. I’ll give up 29 days of liquidity for the lack of ridiculous volatility.”

Liquidity is an issue, says David MacNicol, president and portfolio manager at Toronto-based MacNicol & Associates Asset Management Inc. MacNicol started offering real estate investments to his clients five years ago, and now many come seeking them specifically. He says RELPs have less liquidity — his clients can typically get out after two years without penalties — but adds these investments aren’t for people looking to make a quick buck. Instead, they are aimed at those looking for longer-term returns. “We have more and more people looking for direct investment into real estate — 10% per year with 2-3% volatility,” he says, noting the volatility of the public markets can be four times higher.

Some investors are scared of RELPs because they feel private investment is where frauds are more likely to occur. But Kaufman says many put too much faith in a prospectus, a document that doesn’t offer any real protection against fraud. And Campbell says the notion of malfeasance in the RELP market is overdone, and certainly no worse than what has happened in the publicly-traded sector. “The checklist for RELPs is easy,” Campbell says. “Where are they buying and who is doing the buying? What’s their track record? Are they quality investors?”

He recommends digging deep into the history of those running the RELP before plunking down any cash. He also says to look for companies with management experience in the real estate market and past successes. “I’m not a fan of putting money into the first time someone does an LP,” he says. “Just because they have a high profile doesn’t make them great investors. I see people write $150,000 cheques because they like the investor. I’d rather people checked out the investor and their track record.”

MacNicol says one of the good things about owning alternative real estate investments is that they have limited the peaks and valleys that the public markets have experienced in recent years. The TSX in 2011 was down about 11%, while his company’s real estate fund was up 3.5%.

“That’s what our investors are looking for,” he says. “They don’t want to be up 20% one year and down the next. In the old days, a balanced portfolio got you through the highs and lows of the equities market. That won’t cut it any more. To try to achieve a 3-4% cash flow return like you might be able to in a bond portfolio, we can do that in a half-weighting position in our real estate portfolio.”

In the end, Campbell says the fundamentals work for all forms of real estate investments, regardless of whether they are a personal acquisition of a vacation home, a stake in a publicly-traded REIT or looking at the RELP market.

“No matter what you are analyzing, go back to the basics: where and who is involved, and is there a good solid future?” he says. “I’ve done this for 21 years and these things have never changed. I’m looking for a place with a future and not a past.”

Why there’s no reason to panic about rising rates – Consult with Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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More from Garry Marr | @DustyWallet

Vancouver Mortgage Broker

The Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals found in its last survey that fixed rate mortgages were 85% of new origination.

There is a simple answer to all this hysteria about mortgage rates going up. Don’t lock in your rate.

I know it’s almost heresy to have a floating rate in a mortgage world dictated by Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, who thinks nothing about calling up the banks and telling them their rates are too low.

But the reality is that a variable rate mortgage tied to prime can still be had for as little as 2.55% from some major institutions while the comparable five-year fixed closed rate is 3.49%.

I know. The Risk. Really? The Bank of Canada’s key lending rate, which prime is tied to, hasn’t moved in three years and some economists maintain it won’t be moving until 2015.

“It’s a big, big change going from 2.89% to 3.79%,” says Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist with CIBC World Markets, who expects there to be some rush from consumers to get into the market in the short-term. “There will be more and more people locking in.”

There has been a big jump in mortgage rates to match what has happened with long-term bond yield but it comes down to about 50 basis points. If half a percentage point is going to drive you out of the market, it is time you saved more money to buy a house. The sky is falling at 4% is not based on any historical reality.

But if you want a low rate and are willing to roll the dice, the variable product is out there and expect it to become that much more enticing over the coming months as the interest rate gap widens.

As the yield curve flattened, it didn’t require much thought to lock in. If your financial institution will give you the same rate for five years at 3% or 2.8% (discounts on prime were lower at one point) to begin with and the chance rates will rise, the risk to save 20 basis points is not worth it.

The market showed that consumers were making the only sane choice. The Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals found in its last survey that fixed rate mortgages were 85% of new origination. That’s well above the historical average.

The narrow gap drove people away from variable rate products as much as government policy. One of Mr. Flaherty’s subtle changes to mortgage rules was to force people to qualify based on the five-year posted rate which is now 5.14%. However, if you secured a fixed rate product for five years or longer you could use the much lower rate on your contract which made it easier for those consumers to qualify and borrow more money.

But the spread is widening and today’s gap is more the historical norm, says York University Prof. Moshe Milevsky. Mr. Milevsky is the usually unnamed author behind a report that says you do better going with variable about 88% of the time. The report was done a few years ago and has not been quoted much in today’s low long-term rate environment.

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“Look at the premium now. There has always been periods over the past 40 years where this thing widens,” says Mr. Milevsky. “This one of the larger ones because of the steepening of the yield curve. On the short end they are holding the curve down and the Bank of Canada sees no indication they will be raising [the overnight rate]. On the long end you have the bond market. Who is going to win? The Bank of Canada or the bond market? Place your bets.”

Before you step to the betting window consider the cost of locking in. Let’s use a 25-year amortization and a $500,000 mortgage with 2.55% vs. 3.49%. Over five years, the variable rate product would cost you $58,752.99 in interest. The locked in rate would mean $80,943.67 in interest. That’s one expensive insurance policy.

“It’s abnormal to have the same rate on variable and fixed. We are going back to normal,” says Prof. Milevsky, who thinks the gap will widen. “Nothing has changed, you have to look at your personal balance sheet [to decide if you can handle the risk].”

Vince Gaetano, a principal at monstermortgage.ca, says banks are working hard to “scare” people to lock in. He doesn’t think long-term rates are going to move much further up but on the short-end he thinks there’s going be more room to discount off of prime.

It’s important to remember that the discount you negotiate off of prime on your variable rate product is what you have to live with for the term of the contract, often five years.

“There is a real opportunity if you are disciplined to take advantage of a variable rate,” says Mr. Gaetano. “I think the key is make your payment [based on higher rate] and you will hammer your mortgage down aggressively.”

And, once you’ve done that, a raising rate environment is not all the scary.

 

No ugly downturn for condo market, even in Toronto: report

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TARA PERKINS – REAL ESTATE REPORTER

The Globe and Mail

 

A new report from the Conference Board of Canada predicts that the much-watched condo sector will avoid an ugly downturn, even in Toronto.

Economists and policy-makers are keeping a close eye on condos, especially in the country’s most populous city, where cranes dot the sky. A number of economists say that too many units are being built, a development that would put pressure on prices. The Bank of Canada has highlighted the risks that this market could pose to the economy.

Condo sales plunged in most Canadian cities last year, and are expected to be down again this year.

But Wednesday’s report, which was done for mortgage insurer Genworth Canada, argues that the market will not sink too low, and will be propped up in part by population growth and modest employment gains.

While the report does say that higher mortgage rates could cool things off later this year or early next year, it adds that “a flood of foreclosures, and subsequent sharp supply increases, is simply not in the cards.”

Homeowners are taking advantage of low interest rates to pay down their mortgages, offering a cushion when it comes time for them to renew, it says.

“Markets in Toronto and Montreal are cooling, but we think they will avoid major downturns, partly because, on the demand side, demographic requirements remain decent,” the report says. “Also, the banks will continue to require builders to have healthy pre-sale levels before advancing construction financing, keeping supply somewhat in check.”

Vancouver’s condo market, it notes, is already well into a slowdown.

“While regional markets clearly vary in strength, all will benefit from an expanding population and a rising share of condominium-loving empty-nesters aged 55 or more,” the report adds.

It also says that “weak pricing will help affordability.” It predicts that principal and interest payments will drop in at least five major cities this year, led by a 2.5 per cent decline in Victoria.

While payments are expected to rise in Alberta, the report says that Calgary and Edmonton are still the most affordable condo markets when local incomes are taken into account, with mortgage payments taking only about 9 per cent of household income. “By contrast, we expect payments to eat up roughly 20 per cent of Vancouver incomes,” it says.

The report forecasts a 0.5 per cent drop in Vancouver resale condo prices this year, to $364,593. Victoria and Montreal are also expected to record price declines, with Montreal’s average resale price dropping 0.7 per cent to $265,344. Toronto is forecast to see its average price remain flat this year, at $305,239.

The report predicts that all cities will see some price growth, ranging from 1.4 to 3.6 per cent, in 2014.

101 Series: Money Lessons for Kids – Ask Bruce Coleman, Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Money lessons for kids – Friday, August 23, 2013

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerIt’s that time of year again. With summer winding down and vacations coming to an end, many families are getting ready for the back-to-school season.
For kids, this means settling back into the school routine — and for many parents, it means back-to-school shopping.
These shopping excursions are a great opportunity to chat about money with your kids.
It’s important to teach financial concepts from a young age to help kids learn money management and good financial habits.
While you’re getting organized for the first day, consider involving your kids in the process.
If you have a budget for school supplies, share it with your child to explain that when you spend money on one item, that means there is less available for another.
Go through flyers together to look for back-to-school sales, and discuss the costs of similar products made by different brands.
There are many ways to teach financial basics to your kids.
Parents can find more tips and resources in the “Teaching children about money life” event at itpaystoknow.gc.ca.

Lucie Tedesco
Acting commissioner
Financial Consumer Agency of Canada
Ottawa

How to reduce mortgage penalties – Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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How to reduce mortgage penalties

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerBacking out of a mortgage early? You probably won’t be able to avoid fees entirely, but you can limit them.

A rise in interest rates appears imminent, so folks with big mortgages might want to lock in the current low rates now! But for some, that means getting out of an existing mortgage early. Trying to discharge your mortgage early comes with a cost. After all, banks are in the business of making money, right? The sad truth is banks can be very greedy when it comes to calculating the interest penalty on a mortgage you’re trying to renew early.

Once upon a time, the standard in the industry was to charge a three-month interest penalty for early discharges. CMHC paved the road for that because they had it written into their policy. But when they removed it back in 1999, they’ve created a feeding frenzy among banks who now want to charge what’s called the Interest Rate Differential: a calculation they can do any way they want because there’s no uniform system among lenders or regulation by the Bank Act.

The idea behind the IRD is to compensate the lender for any loss due to a mortgage being paid out early and then the funds being lent again at a lower rate.

Common practice has banks comparing your interest rate to their current interest rate for the term closest to the amount of time left on your mortgage. So if you had two years and four months left on your mortgage, the bank should be using their three-year rate. But they don’t always do that. Sometimes they use a lower rate they’re offering for the calculation.

Since there’s no rule about which rate to use, they can use any rate they want. With a 2% different between one- and five-year rates, that’s a lot of wiggle room. On a $450,000 mortgage, that 2% would cost you $9,000 in penalty interest.

There is something you can do however. You know that annual prepayment you’re allowed to make on your mortgage? It’s usually between 10% and 20% of your initial mortgage amount. Make sure that your bank has applied that prepayment before they calculate the IRD. While this should be standard practice, banks only do it if you make ‘em!

You could also make it clear to your lender that if they make it painful to renew with them, you’re happy to go shopping to find a new lender for your mortgage. Make sure you’re ready to do some work; don’t just make the threat.

The government knows that banks are making record profits on the backs of average Canadians by playing the renewal penalty game. In fact, they promised three years ago to make the calculation consistent. But promises are easy to make, not so easy to keep, so nothing has changed. You’re going to have to advocate for yourself if you don’t want to be taken to the cleaners.

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