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OSFI moves to tighten mortgage insurance guidelines – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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real-estate-signCanada’s financial regulator has unveiled a set of proposed guidelines for mortgage insurance providers aimed at tightening standards around underwriting governance and risk management.

You want some of these record low rates on the market but you’re locked into a mortgage. Just break it, right? Not so fast

The draft guidelines come two years after the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions first announced it was developing a new set of principles around the provision of mortgage insurance in conjunction with international regulators led by the Financial Stability Board in Basel.

In a statement on Monday, OSFI said the so-called Guideline B-21 will “provide clarity about best practices in respect of residential mortgage insurance underwriting, which contribute to a stable financial system.”

Of the roughly $1.1-trillion of Canadian home loans outstanding, more than half are covered by default guarantees underwritten by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. which is ultimately backed by taxpayers.

Critics worry that the easy availability of such insurance has contributed to the frothy real estate market.

Among the proposed requirements, insurers would be required to determine if down payments are from a borrower’s own funds — or if borrowed, to consider increasing premiums. As well, it says incentive and rebate payments should not be considered part of the down payment.

The guidelines are directed at the country’s three mortgage insurers — Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., which underwriters most high-risk mortgages and is backed by the government, and private sector insurers Genworth MI Canada and Canada Guaranty.

The proposed rules have been released for public consultation until May 23.

For the past several years, the federal government has been closely scrutinizing the CMHC, with former Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, who died last week, musing publicly about privatizing the Crown corporation.

The draft guidelines come about 18 months after the federal government introduced new legislation to bring the CMHC directly under the jurisdiction of OSFI.

Observers compared the measure to an earlier set of guidelines focusing on banks’ mortgage underwriting processes. OSFI’s B-20 guidelines, presented in draft form in April 2012, included set of principles around mortgage lending that put responsibility for underwriting standards on the shoulders of banks and their top executives.

Observers say the move helped cool a housing market that appeared to be bubbling over.

With files from The Canadian Press

Young Canadians see buying a house or condo as a wise investment: RBC poll – Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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TORONTO — More young Canadians believe owning a home is a very good investment, according to a new RBC home ownership poll.

condosIt says 86% of those aged 25-34 believe owning a house or condo is a solid investment, up from a reading of 78% last year.

RBC says that attitude is also reflected in buying intentions, with interest from the 25-34 age group rising to 41% in the latest poll compared to just 25% in 2013.

The bank also says its poll reveals that while 62% of Canadians intend to buy a home with their spouse or partner, 28% Canadians say they intend to buy a home by themselves.

Top factors considered by those who intend to buy this year include job stability and manageable debt.

And, among those likely to buy a home within the next two years, RBC says four-in-10 will be first time homebuyers.

“The increase in the number of those who feel the housing market is a good investment, as well as the number of those who intend to buy, really highlights that Canadians have no doubt in the strength of the housing market, said Erica Nielson, RBC’s vice president of home equity finance.

“These findings, which are uniform across Canada, are the result of a number of factors, including job stability and having saved enough for a down payment.”

The online poll of 2,591 Canadians was conducted by Ipsos Reid between February 4 and 14, 2014.

Canadian house prices flat in March from February, but up 4.6% from a year ago – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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TORONTO — Canadian resale home prices were flat in March from February and 12-month home price inflation slowed slightly, the Teranet-National Bank Composite House Price Index showed on Monday.

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerWhile national prices were essentially unchanged last month from February, the index, which measures price changes for repeat sales of single-family homes, showed regional disparities, as Calgary roared ahead but Montreal faltered. The Teranet report does not provide actual prices.

“Except for the recession year 2009, this is the first time in 15 years of index data collection that home prices for Canada as a whole have failed to advance in March,” Teranet said in the report.

From a year earlier, prices were up 4.6%, a slowing from February’s 5.0% price gain. It was the first time in nine months that 12-month inflation has slowed.

Canada’s housing market, which has boomed unsteadily for about five years, slowed at the end of 2013 and observers have been watching to see whether homebuyers will storm back in as the spring buying season begins.

“With the spring season underway, we are likely to observe a typical bounce in housing activity so prices will likely remain buoyed over the next few months,” Mazen Issa, senior Canada macro strategist at TD Securities, said in a research note.

“This will be short-lived, however, as the underlying fundamentals point to a soft landing in the housing market.”

Canada escaped the U.S. housing crash that accompanied the 2008-09 financial crisis, and home prices have risen sharply, if not steadily, in the past five years despite moves by the federal government to tighten mortgage lending rules.

While some economists have predicted the Canadian market will crash, most have said they expect sales and new construction to level off in 2014 and 2015 as mortgage rates rise, with prices continuing to tick slowly higher.

“We look for the rate of home price appreciation to remain steady this year before edging lower in 2015, when the Bank of Canada is expected to resume its tightening cycle,” Issa said.

The Teranet data showed that prices rose in March from the month before in six out of 11 cities, fell in three cities, and were flat in two.

From a month earlier, prices rose 1.4% in Calgary, 0.4% in Edmonton, 0.8% in Halifax, 0.6% in Vancouver and 0.2% in Winnipeg. Vancouver’s gain was the 11th straight monthly increase.

Prices were down 0.7% in Hamilton, 1.8% in Montreal and 0.6% in Ottawa. They were flat in Toronto and Quebec City.

Year-over-year price gains were seen in seven of the 11 cities surveyed.

Compared with a year earlier, prices were up 9.7% in Calgary, 4.7% in Edmonton, 5.2% in Hamilton, 5.8% in Toronto, 7.6% in Vancouver, 0.2% in Victoria and 3.4% in Winnipeg.

Prices compared with a year earlier were down 4.2% in Halifax, 0.7% in Montreal, 1.2% in Ottawa, and 2.4% in Quebec City.

© Thomson Reuters 2014

How to house-hunt with your head, not your heart: Eight steps to smarter house hunting

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2922-3928-0-postContrary to popular belief, home is not where the heart is. Home is where the head is – and if you don’t use your head when house-hunting you could find yourself wishing you’d never said “I do” to that not-so-dream home.

Though it’s sometimes appropriate to let your heart take the lead, finding the right home is a matter of hunting with your head.

But as we learned after talking to the Real Estate Council of Ontario (RECO) about the most common mistakes people make when buying or selling a home, people fall in love all too easily.

Luckily, we can avoid the broken hearts (and the broken bank) with a few simple steps to smarter home-hunting.

8 steps to smarter home-hunting

  1. Don’t be blinded by the love

That means: don’t overpay, don’t rush through the process, and don’t ignore glaring concerns just to win ownership. If it’s not meant to be, it’s not meant to be.

  1. Keep searching for your “sales” mate

According to RECO, there are more than 60,000 real estate brokers and salespersons in Ontario – meaning you can expect to meet a bunch before you find “the one”. Make sure you discuss the services you expect of them and get it in writing.

  1. Know there’s never such a thing as “no strings attached”

Do you know what the terms in your contract with your brokerage mean and your obligations to one another? (And please don’t tell us you didn’t even bother to read the agreement in full?!). Read your agreement thoroughly and fill in every blank before signing. Remember that verbal agreements mean little. Get everything you discussed and agreed upon in writing to avoid problems later on. Always get a copy of the contract for your own files, too.

  1. Check that prenup – who gets what after you ink a deal?

The furnace, fridge, and other items at the showing might have been major selling features for you, but never assume they’re part of the package. The sub-zero might go with the seller; the furnace could be on lease. These details – called “chattels” – ought to be outlined in writing and clarified amongst all parties before any offer is laid on the table. Who knows – you may be able to get your seller to pay off the balance on that furnace lease as part of your offer.

  1. Know it’s what’s on the inside that counts

It’s easy to overlook the more mundane things in a nicely staged home, but ask questions about the insulation, wiring, plumbing, upgrades and past permits. Better still, sign the agreement conditional on a satisfactory home inspection. A qualified home inspector is an aptly-trained necessary third party – and someone who is looking at this transaction totally objectively.

  1. Get to know what’s on the outside, too

Get to know the neighbourhood. When you get into a home, you’re also getting in with a whole family of homes – as well as the parks, the kids, and the community.

  1. Know your home’s past relationships

A simple Internet search for the address can go a long way; or even ask the neighbours for their take on your potential purchase. You never know what kind of mischief the house may have been involved in.

  1. Know what it really costs to seal the deal

Land transfer taxes, title insurance, a home inspection – these are all costs not included in the listing price, but can easily add up to thousands of dollars. Budget and shop accordingly.

What’s your HIQ: Home Intelligence Quotient?

Okay, so you’ve done your research and you’ve diligently studied each step to smarter home-buying. Prove your home smarts, and learn home buying and selling tips, with RECO’s Choose Your Home Adventure Facebook contest.

(Plus, you might end up with a $100 RONA gift card. Wouldn’t that be a sweet sentiment worth writing home about!)

Pre-retirement Canadians no longer rushing to repay mortgage debt- Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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DAVID ISRAELSON- Special to The Globe and Mail

reverse-mortgage01rb1Looking forward to those sunset years when you can put your feet up and burn your mortgage? Peter Veselinovich notices that a lot of people are quietly putting away their matches.

The traditional mortgage market, where younger Canadians scrimp and sacrifice in the expectation that they’ll be paid up when they retire, has been changing, says Mr. Veselinovich, vice-president of banking and mortgage operations for Investors Group in Winnipeg.

 

 

“There has been a trend developing where people appear to be more comfortable in carrying debt into what may have typically been their retirement years,” he says.

Pre-retirement Canadians in their 50s are taking on an alarming amount of debt and are most at risk of bankruptcy, says April Dunn, owner of the Red Door Mortgage Group, a mortgage brokerage in Vancouver, citing a new study that examined some 7,000 insolvency filings.

“More than half of all retired Canadians are carrying debt, with many stuck managing two or more payments a month,” she adds, noting that it’s not unusual to see baby boomers who reach retirement about $400,000 short of their financial goals.

Yet some older people have other reasons for not winding down from the mortgage market. For them it’s a lifestyle choice, Mr Veselinovich says. “They have decided to use their resources for other matters and believe their cash flow is sufficient to service mortgage debt.”

Others are taking advantage of historically low interest rates. Still others are leveraging property that they have paid off or nearly paid off to pass funds to their children so the kids can afford to buy their own places, he adds.

People who downsize from large family homes can often afford to move to smaller places mortgage free. “That being said, there may well be prudent reasons for someone with cash in the bank to take out a mortgage,” says Jawad Rathore, a developer of seniors-focused condo properties.

“It can make better sense for their lifestyles and also for their balance sheets,” says Mr. Rathore, president and chief executive officer of Fortress Real Developments.

A client with sufficient investments to pay cash for a property may choose to mortgage instead, says Mr. Veselinovich. “Why? Because cashing in the investments may trigger income taxes and other fees.”

It may make more sense to use the investments to service the debt, he says, drawing out smaller amounts at a potentially lower marginal tax rate. “There may be opportunities for such an individual to make their mortgage tax efficient.”

It’s critical to have a mortgage plan, Ms. Dunn says. “Your mortgage is the financial tool that’s tied to your largest asset, so whether you decide to pay it off early or keep your other investments liquid, having a strategy and utilizing your mortgage as a financial tool can help you have the retirement you want.”

Age is not the only factor at work here, experts note.

“It is not a question of age. It is a question of suitability,” says Frank Margani, executive vice-president of strategy and development at Fortress Real Developments.

“There could be a healthy 80-year-old who wants to put 40 per cent down on a property and has the income streams to support mortgage payments, and then it’s fine. On the other hand, there could be a healthy 60-year-old, not yet retired but who can’t afford the mortgage payment.”

Age is not a barrier to obtaining mortgage insurance, either. Mortgage holders who put down less than 20 per cent on a property are required to buy insurance from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. Others who make higher down payments can buy life insurance, but Ms. Dunn warns that “just like other types of insurances the premiums increase as we get older, and there are some age restrictions by some insurance companies. Premiums can get quite expensive the older we get.”

Some other questions to consider are whether you want an open or closed mortgage and to what extent you want to involve other family members in the purchase. If they’re on the deed they can take over payments; on the other hand, dealing with your later-in-life property can be emotional for them.

No collapse in Canada’s condo market, but not much growth either – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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condoThe report is sponsored by Canada’s largest private mortgage default insurer but it shows a relatively flat condo market in Canada’s eight largest market for high rises.

Leaving the city (and the big mortgage) behind

Many couples, stunned by the value of their homes in Canadian urban centers like Toronto, Calgary and Vancouver, are pondering trading city life for opportunities to cut costs in the suburbs or beyond. Read on

Genworth Canada and the Conference Board of Canada forecast prices rising in 2014 in all eight markets surveyed but barely ahead of inflation. Sales will also be positive but even the most robust market, Quebec City, will only see a 4% increase in resale condo activity.

“Although many commentators view the Canadian condominium market as an overvalued bubble about to burst, we think it is only slightly overheated and enjoys sound economic underpinnings,” said Robin Wiebe, senior economist at the Centre for Municipal Studies at The Conference Board of Canada, in the release. “As such, markets are likely to cool gently. To potential homebuyers, monthly mortgage payments, rather than house prices, are what matter and these should remain moderate.”

The report says all of the cities are expected to have employment and population growth in 2014. Those gains and continued low interest rates are cited as factors supporting the condo market, along with an aging population of empty nesters and cash-poor first-time buyers.

“With a variety of price points and central locations, condominiums remain an attractive and affordable option for those who want to be close to all that urban life has to offer, ” said Brian Hurley, chief executive of Genworth Canada, in the release. “For first-time buyers, well-maintained buildings with reasonable maintenance fees provide that balance between responsible debt investment and homeownership.”

Prices are forecast to pick up in 2015 but even the strongest market in Victoria will only see 4% price gains. Toronto is forecast to be the weakest market by 2015 with only a 1.7% price gain.

The report says there were price gains in six markets it surveyed in 2013 except Montreal, where condominium values dropped by 1.2%, and Ottawa which saw a 3.6% price decline.

For 2014, Calgary is expected to see the largest gains in price with the forecast for a 3.2% increase.
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Renovations demand flexible financing choices – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Fourth in a series.

Vancouver Mortgage BrokerWhether you are selling your home, buying a new one or simply planning to stay put, renovations will at some point likely become a part of your financial planning.

You may decide to renovate to get your house ready to put on the market and perhaps increase the selling price. You may choose to add renovation costs to a new home purchase to make it more comfortable before you move in. Or your plan may simply be to stay put and invest in creating the home you truly want. Whatever the case, it’s important to understand how to make the most of your renovation budget.

Renovations can be just as important to a seller or a buyer, says Scott McGillivray, television host and Canadian real estate specialist. “If your place needs renovations, chances are [a potential buyer] will feel the same way. That could make a big difference in the selling price.”

If you’re on the fence about whether to stay and renovate or start fresh with another home, McGillivray strongly recommends taking a look at other properties to see if there is something that excites you before coming to any decisions. “Then base your decision on what will give you the best return on investment.”

When it comes to deciding to renovate or sell, there are a lot of personal considerations that come into play, says Todd Lawrence, senior vice president, products and payments for CIBC in Toronto. “You need to decide if you want to go through with the demands of managing a renovation; whether you really love the location and space you’re in; and if your house is capable of being what you want it to be.”

From a purely financial perspective, it’s important to have a clear picture of whether the renovations you invest in will be reflected in the appreciation of the home’s value, he adds. “In other words, what elements will give you the most uplift for your investment?”

That’s why it’s important to ensure your house is well maintained, McGillivray says. It can cost you dearly if you choose to ignore or postpone important renovations such as a new roof or furnace. Generally speaking the appreciated value of a repair will far outweigh costs.

“If you’re spending $2,000 a year to maintain a home, you get double the value in the selling price. If you don’t keep up, the house will go down in value.”

For example, after moisture seepage (especially after a spring thaw), the grading on your property can easily be fixed with some topsoil and sod for about $1,000, he explains. “Not making that investment could mean a $5,000 concession on the selling price. No one knows the extent of the damage behind the walls if they notice seepage problems on inspection.”

Once your needs are sorted out, it’s much easier to manage the financial aspects. A starting point is finding out whether you have the flexibility in your current mortgage to incorporate renovation costs, or you need to negotiate a new one, McGillivray says. “Where the money comes from will determine what you’re capable of doing. A mortgage advisor can help in sorting out what’s best for you.”

With the wide array of mortgage products out there, you need to come up with a plan that allows for easy access to funds when you need them, he adds. “Today mortgages can be a million different things. You can use cash back or all-in-one power plan mortgages so that you don’t need to panic if the roof goes or the furnace breaks down.”

When moving to a new property, he recommends looking at some sort of blended mortgage that includes additional options that allow you to build up a line of credit as you pay down your home.

Timing is also an important discussion point when moving to a new home, Lawrence notes. “Do you buy first or sell first? What do you do if there is a mismatch in the timing? The best thing to do is talk to an advisor about your options around that. A lot of existing mortgages can be ported to a new home for example. Or you may need bridge financing. These are all important things you need to talk about before making a decision.”

If you want to have a mortgage in retirement, be prepared to make some big sacrifices – Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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retireMaybe we shouldn’t be all that surprised that mortgages based on a 25-year payment schedule are now part of our retirement picture.

Here’s why paying off your mortgage isn’t always the best idea

Pay that mortgage off? Why would you bother, especially if that money could be invested elsewhere at a higher rate? Mortgage broker Calum Ross says there is an opportunity to invest in today’s market using the money you would otherwise earmark for your mortgage. Keep reading.

It could be worse. Amortizations were as high as 40 years before former finance minister Jim Flaherty limited the length of loans with government-backed mortgage insurance. But even at 25 years, that means holding debt in retirement if you take on a new mortgage passed age 40 which is increasingly common in Canada.

Most planners seem to think it is a disaster waiting to happen because seniors don’t usually have the income in retirement to support debt repayment and that means major lifestyle changes.

Will Dunning, chief economist with the Canadian Associated of Accredited Mortgage Professionals, says among homeowners 65 years or older, 35% have a mortgage. Among those with a mortgage, the average loan-to-value ratio is 33%.

“I have a feeling a lot [of cases] of the mortgages in retirement are they’ve refinanced for some purpose, to finance a kid’s wedding or to lend money to a kid to pay for a down payment,” says Mr. Dunning.

I’m totally against it

Lise Andreana, a certified financial planner based in Niagara-on-the-Lake who counts many seniors among her clients, says going into retirement with debt is fraught with challenges.

“I’m totally against it,” says Ms. Andreana about taking a mortgage into your retirement. “You’ve got to make payments that will be coming out of retirement income.”

In situations where people do still have a mortgage going into retirement, it often proves a major problem, she says.

“One of my clients is drawing down registered funds over and above what would normally be required [to live off],” says the CFP. “My advice for the past five years has been ‘you need to downsize, you need to sell that house because you are going to run out of money.’ Getting them to do it? That’s their decision.”

If you want to have a mortgage in retirement, be prepared to make some other sacrifice.

“I have one client and she wanted to sent a bouquet of roses to a friend in the hospital. I said ‘you can’t afford, send a card’,” says Ms. Andreana, who thinks people should pay off their mortgage by age 50 so they can ramp up their savings for 10-15 years.

Toronto mortgage broker Paul Roberts says lenders are not keen on giving seniors mortgages because of the ramifications if they can’t pay. “You never want to go power-of-sale on an older person,” says Ms. Roberts.

She’s done mortgages for people in their 70s before and says the No. 1 reason she sees older people taking on debt is to help out their kids.

“It’s so expensive for homebuyers or people in their 30s or 40s to buy a house, compared to parents or grandparents, so a lot of times you’ll find the kids being helped out,” says Ms. Roberts. “Sometimes to help with the downpayment they are doing a financing on their own house.”

A survey from Bank of Montreal confirms the trend of giving money to children. BMO says 30% of first-timer home buyers expect parents or family to assist then in buying a home. In Vancouver’s pricey market, 40% expect help.

It’s not the first study to suggest the trend but there is no data on how these parents are funding the gift.

AP Photo/Tony Dejak, File
AP Photo/Tony Dejak, FileBMO says 30% of first-timer home buyers expect parents or family to assist then in buying a home.

“Sometimes, they are really just giving a pre-inhertance, they are going to give the money to the kids anyway so they give it to them early so they can enjoy it now,” said Ms. Roberts.

Jeffrey Schwartz, executive director of Consolidated Credit Counselling Services of Canada Inc., says not all senior mortgages are because of generosity.

“People are living longer, right of the gate they need more money to live. Many seniors are living on fixed income. But do their spending habits match their income?” says Mr. Schwartz. “The result is seniors are taking mortgages into retirement and, in many cases, it is becoming the new norm. In some cases they are even adding [debt].”

More worrisome is that if interest rates ever raise, many of these seniors will be squeezed further at a point in their lives when they can’t handle larger interest payments. “It could send them into a tailspin,” says Mr. Schwartz.

There is increasing evidence that seniors are getting themselves in more debt trouble.

Equifax Canada Inc. said last year that seniors led the pack among age groups when it came to ramping up their debt. Seniors make up about 8% of all bankruptcies, up from 6% five years ago, the ratings agency said at the time.

It’s not a huge cause for alarm because only 0.05% of all senior debt ends up in bankruptcy.

It’s a little bit scary, they are stretching their standard of living

Still making sure you have enough left over to has to be top priority for seniors, said Fred Vettese, chief actuary for Morneau Shepell and co-author of The Real Retirement, who has bucked the general thinking that you need 70% of your income for your retirement years.

“You don’t need that 70% because you are paying off a mortgage when you are actively employed,” said Mr. Vettese, adding that doesn’t hold true if you still have a mortgage in retirement.

But even if you do have enough money from your RRSP to pay off a mortgage, Mr. Vettese wonders why you would want to do it. Your RRSP is likely going to be invested in conservative instruments like bonds that pay a lower yield than the mortgage you are taking out.

“It just doesn’t make sense,” he says.

About the only way a mortgage might make sense is if you are still working after 65. “If you are still making employment income, that’s how they would justify it,” said Mr. Vettese, adding there is more and more evidence people are working later in life.

Even so, he wonders whether people should really be taking on more debt at such a late stage in life.

“It’s a little bit scary, they are stretching their standard of living, just going for more than they can afford,” says Mr. Vettese.

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Gen Y: Don’t believe the hype on home ownership – Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Vancouver Mortgage BrokerThe housing boom of the past decade has given young adults a whole lot of debt and some pitiful gains in net worth.

The twenty- and thirtysomethings of Generation Y who are entering the market today are in for worse treatment. A mindset for those who choose to buy a house: It’s about lifestyle, not making an investment.

Home-ownership boosters base their argument that homes are a good investment on the fact that resale prices have increased more than 6 per cent annually since 2000, triple the inflation rate. This gain helped power a rise in household net worth that has been much talked about lately because it suggests households are financially strong.

Net worth is an overblown measure of financial health, as I argued in a recent column. But it’s especially irrelevant in telling us what’s happening with young people.

Statistics Canada says median net worth for families increased 78 per cent from 1999 to 2012 on an inflation-adjusted basis, or about 4.5 per cent a year. But in households where the age of the highest earner was under 35, net worth grew just 8.6 per cent in total, or about 0.6 per cent a year. Inflation averaged 2.2 per cent over that period, so those young-adult households were actually losing net worth on what economists call a real basis.

It’s quite normal for young adults to have done poorly on net worth. “Gains in net worth have been driven mostly by real estate appreciation and, of course, those under 35 tend to have very little equity in their houses,” said Doug Porter, chief economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns. “They probably didn’t benefit directly in the appreciation of homes in that period.”

What is a bit unusual is that net-worth growth in the under-35 bracket so markedly lagged the broader population, Mr. Porter said. He thinks this discrepancy can be explained as being a result of big home-equity gains by older households. They benefited from the housing boom much more than younger people because they owned more of their homes.

Okay, younger Canadians will catch up when future housing price gains help them build equity, too. Or so housing boosters say in the kind of forecast that is meant to encourage buyers to jump into the market, not help people make a sound financial decision.

A look at market fundamentals suggests prices can’t keep rising indefinitely. Affordability is stretched in some cities, and an aging baby boomer demographic will soon start a downsizing process that could flood the market with homes for sale. There’s also the financial world’s law of gravity to consider: An asset that soars in price must eventually give back some gains.

Mr. Porter’s forecast for housing: “I think prices will struggle to show any real gains in the next five to 10 years. Of course, it depends on the city. Calgary, for example, should do just fine.”

After 13 years of massive real estate price gains, young adults were left with only a token increase in net worth. Debt, sadly, is a different story. Statistics Canada says under-35 households owed $36.44 per $100 in assets in 2012, by far the highest of any age group.

Young adults had the biggest debt loads back in 1999 as well, and it’s easy to see why. Then, as now, they were still in the very early years of their mortgage and they may have had student debts to finish paying off. Carrying debt is normal for young people, you might say.

Problem is, you can’t rationalize or justify that debt today by saying it’s the cost of getting into a housing market with lots of upside. In fact, there’s some downside to consider. A price drop of 5 per cent would be fairly modest, and yet it would wipe out the equity of people making the minimum 5-per-cent down payment.

Gen Y, the investment argument for home buying is always suspect because it so rarely considers the cost of mortgage interest, property taxes, insurance and maintenance. Today, you’ve got to be even more skeptical. If you’re set on buying, make it for lifestyle reasons. Boomers will hit the jackpot with their homes, but you won’t.

Coming Saturday: The case for investing in the markets instead of buying a house, at least in the near term.

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Vancouver Mortgage BrokerBuy a house with less than a 20% down payment and you have to get mortgage default insurance. There’s no choice. The rules are dictated by Ottawa and protect the banks, in the event you default.

Why the mortgage rate wars can rage more freely

Why did Bank of Montreal risk a (verbal) slap from Finance Minister Joe Oliver for daring to chop its five-year mortgage rate below 3%?

Because they knew the mortgage war is going to be different this time.
The rate you’ll be charged bears very little relation to your individual risk. You have a fantastic job, a great credit history and live in a part of the country where the housing market is on solid footing? Forget it, you’re paying the same premium as anyone else and it’s mostly based on your downpayment.

“The mortgage insurance product, irrespective of who sells it, is the same product. There is less product differentiation that there is among choices of 89 octane unleaded gasoline,” says Finn Poschmann, vice-president of research of the C.D. Howe Institute. “In gasoline, at least you can choose among ethanol content levels and detergents. Not so with mortgage insurance.”

Starting on May 1 consumers will pay even more for this insurance which provides a backstop to the entire Canadian economy given Ottawa is on the hook for close to the $1-trillion in mortgages it guarantees.

But this type of pricing could all change in the future. Evan Siddall, a former investment banker who was installed as president and chief executive of Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. in December has been asked about the possibility of a risk-based method of assessing mortgage default insurance.

Sources say the new CEO has told people he doesn’t disagree with the principal of risk-based insurance.

CMHC wouldn’t offer any specific comment. “CMHC’s President has been consulting with a broad range of housing stakeholders across Canada over the past three months in order to gather information and perspectives on several different topics, including mortgage loan insurance,” a spokesperson, said in an email.

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It would be a monumental change for the Crown corporation and might fit with the more business-like approach the department of finance seems to be demanding from CMHC. Former Finance Minister Jim Flaherty openly talked about privatizing the organization last year.

The new Finance Minister Joe Oliver doesn’t seem to be ruling out anything when it comes to the mortgage market these days. “The government is gradually reducing its involvement in the mortgage market,” he said, in response to the latest rate battle raging among the banks.

Last year, Mr. Flaherty put CMHC under the control of the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, to keep it more tightly under the thumb of finance.

CMHC has already begun overhauling its board with a more Bay St. flavour with the new chairman Robert Kelly, a former Wall Street CEO. One of the first major acts of new management was to increase the fees, something it said it needed to do to improve capital targets and reduce taxpayer exposure to the market.

With 5% down, the current cost of insurance is 2.75% of the value of your mortgage. That premium rises to 3.15% next month. CMHC controls a majority of the the market and its only two private competitors followed almost immediately with the exact same spike in rates.

“It’s a one-size fits all model,” said Winsor Macdonell, general counsel with Genworth Canada, the largest private competitor in the marketplace.

Changing the model would be a potentially controversial measure that would leave mortgage insurance closer to the more traditional approach to insurance when it comes to assessing risk.

No one in the life insurance industry would ever give the same rate to a non-smoker as a smoker. Car insurers will charge someone in small town Ontario a much lower rate than say someone in Toronto.

It’s not without precedent. Australia no longer has mandatory government mortgage insurance but a market has developed for the product privately anyway, says Mr. Poschmann. In the United States, there are rates based on your state and within that state pricing you pay a premium based on your credit score.

It’s a one-size fits all model
“I think the Canadian model is partly [the way it is] because it’s historic,” says Mr. Macdonell. “We looked at this 10 years ago because finance was considering getting rid of the mandatory requirement for mortgage insurance.”

One of the biggest political problems for risk-adjusted based pricing in Canada would be the difference in pricing for people in rural areas versus urban areas. “It’s harder to sell a home in a rural area and that by itself would drive your price up,” he says, adding the current model makes Genworth’s portfolio stronger because it spreads risk more evenly.

The government has an interest in keeping that portfolio strong, given that in the event Genworth fails Ottawa is on the hook for 90% of the dollar value of the loans the private insurer guarantees for banks. The government backs 100% of loans insured by CMHC.

One of the reasons the banks are said to like the current system is they don’t want an increase in market share by private players because of that 10 percentage point gap. During the financial crisis in 2008, the banks started driving more business to CMHC because of that gap and concerns over credit. The banks want private insurers there for competition but only to a point.

The current system does mean some consumers are subsidizing others by paying a higher rate than they would in a free market. “In a reconfigured marketplace you would likely would have more variation. Credit scores would be one axis, so would the strength of the market and the ability to turn over properties. And the product itself could be different,” says Mr. Poschmann.

Vince Gaetano, a mortgage broker with monstermortgage.ca, says nothing illustrates the absurdity of the market more today than the fact that people with mortgage insurance and low down payments actually get cheaper rates than people with large down payments without insurance.

He can get a consumer with 5% down a mortgage rate of 2.84%, if they lock in that rate on a closed mortgage for five years. Put more than 20% down and the best he can do is 2.99% for the same mortgage because it has no government backing.

Still, he questions what the incentive will be to change the system — not because the banks like the current system but also due to the lack of data to access individual risk.

“Sure [changing the system] make sense. I just don’t think they’ll be able to trust the data,” says Mr. Gaetano, about assessing risk. “There are having a hard time trying to come up with a matrix to assess risk. It’s very difficult.”

For that reason, while many people think a change is coming from CMHC, it could take years to implement.


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