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evan-siddall17rb1The head of Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. is shifting the priority of the mortgage insurer to helping Canadians buy homes they need, not the bigger, pricier homes they might want.

Chief executive officer Evan Siddall said in an exclusive interview that his first six months on the job have been focused on building an organization that will be more flexible and transparent, one that will do more to emphasize its social housing role and less to subsidize the banks. And one that will only help Canadians purchase homes they need. That will result in fewer and smaller new insurance policies, and will stem the risk to Canadian taxpayers of losses at CMHC should the housing market slump.

 

“We help Canadians meet their housing needs, not exceed them,” Mr. Siddall told The Globe and Mail’s editorial board, as he outlined the mandate that will guide his time at the helm of the mortgage insurer.

It’s a return in direction back CMHC’s roots, after a period in which it was accused of stoking the housing market. CMHC is the country’s dominant seller of mortgage insurance, which essentially reimburses lenders if a borrower defaults on a mortgage. The insurance is mandatory any time a federally-regulated lender sells a mortgage to someone who doesn’t have a down payment of at least 20 per cent. While the banks are technically responsible for paying the insurance fees, in practice they pass them on to home buyers.

Mortgage insurance reduces the risks to the banks, encouraging them to lend more, and making it easier and cheaper to obtain mortgages.

The Crown corporation was created in 1946 to help returning war veterans buy homes, but it has grown to become the size of one of Canada’s biggest banks. Over the past 10 years CMHC has at times dabbled in backing 40-year mortgages with no down payment, mortgages on second homes, mortgages on homes worth seven figures, and loans for condominium construction. But it has been recently scaling back amid fears of taxpayer exposure to the housing market

CMHC has an explicit government guarantee, leaving taxpayers on the hook if things go sour. Mr. Siddall said he does not believe the housing market is in dangerous territory, but even so, managing risk for taxpayers is a “sacred obligation.”

In recent months, the insurer has rolled out a string of changes that have underlined the shift in emphasis, including eliminating insurance for second homes and all individual insurance on homes over $1-million.

“The first thing we did as an executive group is we spent a lot of time thinking about our purpose,” said Mr. Siddall, a former investment banker at Bank of Montreal and Goldman Sachs & Co., who also worked as a special adviser to former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney.

Mr. Siddall is continuing the direction that was set for the organization by former finance minister Jim Flaherty, who started pulling the government’s backing for homes priced over $1-million two years ago. But he is also putting his own stamp on CMHC at a time when current Finance Minister Joe Oliver has said he plans to take a less active role in the housing sector.

“We manage the government’s exposure to the tail risk of a housing crisis,” Mr. Siddall said. “And we do that with taxpayers’ money. That’s a sacred obligation and a core obligation of what we do.”

He added that the Crown corporation is choosing to cut its own risks. “There has been speculation that these changes have been imposed on us by Finance. That’s not true,” he said. “In fact, my first meeting with the Minister of Finance won’t be until later this week.”

That’s not to say there hasn’t been interaction with government, which recently placed the deputy minister of finance on CMHC’s board. Ottawa has been working to stem the growth of CMHC because it has racked up massive taxpayer exposure to the housing market, and some of its products have helped to fuel house prices.

Mr. Siddall said the Canadian market is “modestly overvalued” but he believes that there will be a soft landing, meaning a gradual petering out as opposed to any crash in prices.

“If prices continue to grow, all things being equal, we would be worried,” he said. “But we are not concerned right now about the level of prices or the level of activity in the housing market.”

Sales of existing homes in Canada sprang to life in May, rising 5.9 per cent from April, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). That’s the highest month-to-month increase in almost four years, and was much higher than economists expected.

“The housing market remains remarkably resilient,” Bank of Montreal economist Benjamin Reitzes said in a research note. “As long as rates remain at rock-bottom levels, housing isn’t like to weaken much, if at all.”

While sales slumped through the cold winter months, price growth has continued to be relatively strong. CREA said Monday that it now expects the national average home price will rise 5.7 per cent this year to $404,300. In March it was forecasting a 3.8-per-cent increase to $397,000.

While the current prices don’t concern Mr. Siddall, he said the organization is worried about consumer debt levels.

“We are concerned about the elevated level of Canadian consumer indebtedness,” he said, adding that it removes consumers’ ability to withstand an unforeseen event.

During the meeting with The Globe, he emphasized the importance of CMHC’s basic role in the market, while acknowledging that more should be done to shift risk back to the banks and the private sector. His comments come amid criticism from groups such as the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), which argued in a report about the state of Canada’s economy last week that the government should consider privatizing CMHC’s insurance activities.

“People like the OECD, when they wonder about our model, kind of miss the memo about the role CMHC can play,” Mr. Siddall said. “Now, we [do] have a responsibility to attend to how large that should be.”

The OECD also called for changes to the system to ensure lenders take on more risk for home loans. It noted that in other countries with mortgage insurance, the insurance tends to cover 10 to 30 per cent of the losses, rather than 100 per cent, and suggested imposing a deductible.

The concept of a deductible is a “pretty good idea,” Mr. Siddall said, although it would take some time to be put into practice in Canada.

Finance Minister Oliver said Monday that the idea of having CMHC insure only a portion of mortgages, rather than the entire loan, is one that could be looked at. Mr. Oliver said he would like to see the private sector mortgage insurers take a larger share of the market and that when it comes to taking further steps to reduce risk, “the specific decisions taken by CMHC will be their decision.”

When it comes to CMHC’s large securitization arm, which essentially packages up mortgages and sells them as bonds or helps banks sell them, Mr. Siddall said he’s worried that it’s a low-cost form of wholesale funding for the institutions and “that means we’re subsidizing banks. … And that is something that over time we should address.”

It’s too soon to say how, he added. “We’ve got to make sure we do it in a way that’s supportive of markets, that we do it in consultation with banks so that we don’t disrupt their businesses,” he said.

With files from reporter Bill Curry in Ottawa

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Monster May for housing sales doesn’t mean the market won’t slow – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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canada_soldMay was a phenomenal month for existing homes sales across the country but the jump in activity might say more about the harsh winter than the state of the market.

Calgary’s housing market making a dramatic comeback

The Calgary housing market is so hot that an economist reported Tuesday that only 15 condominiums in the city remained built and unsold last month. Find out more

The Canadian Real Estate Association said Monday that sales in May jumped 5.9% from April which was the largest monthly increase in more than four years. Sales jumped in 80% of the markets surveyed by the group.

“Over the past 25 years, that widespread a monthly sales increase has been recorded only a handful of times,” said Beth Crosbie, president of CREA.

The group said there was a “delayed start” to the spring buying season as people deferred putting their homes on the market until the end of a harsh winter. With summer just about here, the group doesn’t think the pace of the last month can be maintained.

That’s a view held by many in the market.

“I think you are seeing the rougher winter held back supply and then it came on stream. It’s starting to balance out a bit,” said Martin Reid, president of Home Capital. “We think the price appreciation we saw in cities like Toronto will normalize.”

The average price of a home sold across the country in May reached $416,584, a 7.1% increase from a year earlier. Remove Greater Toronto and Greater Vancouver from the equation and the average price was just $336,373 last month with prices up 5.3% from a year ago.

CREA isn’t predicting any sort of crash and says sales should reach 463,400 this year, buoyed by continued low interest rates. At that level, sales would be up 1.2% from a year ago. By 2015, it expects another 0.9% increase in sales.

Prices also have some room to grow, says the group which is predicting the average home will sell for $404,300 this year, a 5.7% annual increase. Prices are forecast to only rise 0.7% next year.

Mr. Reid thinks price increases will be flat to 5% this year depending on the market with Toronto and Calgary being the exceptions. He warns people might need to get used to a new reality in housing.

“Price appreciation will be a lot slower than what we’ve seen over the last 10 years over the next few years though we see sales activity as reasonably good,” he said.

Robert Kavcic, an economist with Bank of Montreal, said while the housing market looks “balanced and sturdy overall,” once you check a little more closely you see individual markets like Toronto and Calgary are performing better.

“One reason policymakers might be a bit hesitant to act again soon is that strong price gains are confined to a few select markets, or even sub-markets, while a wide swath of the country (at least geographically) is seeing downright dreary conditions,” the economist said Monday.

Robert Hogue, senior economist with Royal Bank of Canada, cautioned that the huge jump in sales activity in May probably won’t hold up for the rest of the year.

“For the most part, [May sales] represent a temporary burst that will not be sustained much longer because there is minimal pent up demand to satisfy,” he said. “We expect the Canadian housing market to enter a moderation phase later this year once long-term interest rates start to raise.”

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Bad weather can’t put a dent in Canadian housing sales – Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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canada_soldSpring came late for the Canadian residential real estate market but despite the delay the organization that represents the country’s realtors is still predicting a 1.2% jump in activity for 2014.

Calgary’s housing market making a dramatic comeback

Te Calgary housing market is so hot that an economist reported Tuesday that only 15 condominiums in the city remained built and unsold last month. Find out more

The Ottawa-based Canadian Real Estate Association is now saying there will be 463,400 sales this year in Canada, down slightly from the 463,700 in sales it was predicting in March.

“Extraordinarily bleak winter weather made for a slow start to 2014 national sales activity. As the first quarter ended, sales momentum heading into spring was constrained by a continuing shortage of listings in a number of local markets. The rise in newly listed properties in April and May supported an increase in sales activity,” CREA said in a release.

The group said it looks like interest rates will now rise until later in the year, which supports home ownership over the rest of 2014.

By next year sales will continue to climb, reaching 467,800 which amounts to a 0.9% and would be in line with the 10-year average for sales.

Prices will also continue to rise with the average sale price forecast at $404,300 for 2014, a 5.7% increase from a year earlier. By 2015, average sale prices are expected to rise 0.7% to $407,300.

Meanwhile May sales from CREA showed the strongest month over month increases in almost four years, rising 5.9% from April to May.

“The monthly increase in May activity was widespread among local housing markets, with some 80% of them reporting stronger sales compared to April,” said CREA president Beth Crosbie, in a statement. “Over the past 25 years, that widespread a monthly sales increase has been recorded only a handful of times.”

The actual national average price for homes sold in May 2014 was $416,584, up 7.1% from a year earlier.

Rising real estate prices and low interest rates keep Canadian households upbeat – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Bloomberg News | May 20, 2014 | Last Updated: May 20 12:01 PM ET

real-estateThe share of Canadians who are predicting higher home prices in their neighborhood remained above 40% for a fifth week in the latest weekly polling by Bloomberg and Nanos Research. That’s kept consumer confidence levels at near the highest in four years, the data show.

Improving views on housing follow a recent acceleration in the real estate market in recent months that reflects a shift by policy makers at the Bank of Canada to dim expectations for rate increases as it plays down concerns over rising household debt to focus on stimulating the economy.

“The crux of it is the rates environment,” said David Tulk, chief macro strategist at TD Securities. “It’s that combined impact of seeing your own asset increase but also realizing that no one is going to take away the punch bowl.”

The Bloomberg Nanos Confidence Index measured 59.6 in the week ended May 16, little changed from the previous reading of 59.5. The survey-based index hit a four-year high of 60.1 on April 25. The index is calculated on scores derived from weekly polls on the outlook for real estate prices, personal finances, job security and the Canadian economy.

The proportion of survey respondents who believe home values in their neighborhood will rise over the next six months was at 40.7% last week. While down from 42.8% two weeks ago, the score has averaged 41.9% over the past five weeks, up from an average 37.3% over the past year. The share of Canadians who expect a decrease in real estate prices fell to 9.7% last week, the lowest since January.

The Nanos data are based on phone interviews with 1,000 people, using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents. The results are accurate to within 3.1 percentage points.

Last week’s poll coincided with Canadian Real Estate Association data that showed home sales in April rose 2.7%, the fastest pace since August, largely on a surge in transactions in Vancouver and Toronto. April’s sales gain was the third consecutive increase after a four-month winter skid.

The national average price of a home sold in April was up 0.8% from March and 7.6% from a year earlier. There is also evidence construction is holding up better than expected; Canada’s housing agency reported this month work on new homes accelerated to 194,809 units at a adjusted annual pace in April, a 24% increase from the previous month.

Rate Bias

Over the past year, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz has turned the central bank’s focus away from rising housing debt toward concerns that inflation is persistently low amid excess economic capacity. Poloz removed the central bank’s rate- rise bias in October.

Canadian inflation hasn’t exceeded the central bank’s 2% target since February 2012. Statistics Canada will report April inflation data on May 23. Economists are forecasting a 2% pace for the first time in two years.

The impact of the Bank of Canada’s policy shift has prompted commercial banks to lower mortgage rates, even as the federal government and other financial regulators have tightened mortgage rules to shield households that would be most vulnerable to a home-price correction.

Canada Mortgage & Housing Agency this year restricted the availability of mortgage insurance for individuals purchasing a second home and increased premiums on its products. The federal government has recently shortened the maximum amortization period on mortgages.

The regulations “are not targeting the average homeowner, they are trying to limit the most vulnerable of borrowers of entering a fairly stretched market,” said Tulk.

Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast the 1% overnight policy rate won’t rise before the middle of 2015 at the earliest. Poloz reiterated last month he is neutral on the direction of the next move.

Bloomberg Nanos’s confidence index has two sub-indexes: the Expectations Index, based on responses on the outlook for the economy and real-estate prices, and the Pocketbook Index, based on survey responses to questions about personal finances and job security. The Pocketbook Index rose to 60.2 last week from 59.2, while the Expectations Index fell to 59 from 59.7.

Both gauges are above their 12 month averages.

Bloomberg.com

Need money for retirement? Cut off your kids – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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Credit+card+cut+scissors+consumer+spendingTo support their adult children, today’s parents are working extra hours, dipping into their retirement savings and remortgaging their homes.

We’ve yet to build a consensus in this country that there’s anything unique or alarming about the problems that the young adults of Generation Y are having in establishing their financial independence today. But events are overtaking this debate. Quietly, the parents of the nation have been making significant financial sacrifices to support their kids in college and university and after graduation.

The extent of this support is shown in a new survey that the Canadian Alliance of Student Associations commissioned from the polling firm Abacus Data. The online survey reflects the lives of 604 parents from across the country with children who are currently pursuing a postsecondary education, who graduated in the past five years or who will attend college or university in the next five years. To set the stage, one-third of the parents in the survey said they live comfortably in their current financial situation, 46 per cent said they met basic expenses with a bit left over and 20 per cent were just meeting basic costs or lacked enough to do even that.

Though modest in size, the survey is significant as the first evidence of how Gen Y’s problems in starting careers and generating a living income are affecting families. A majority of parents reported making small sacrifices – eating out less and cancelling or scaling back a vacation. Roughly one-third have gone a lot further by either taking out a loan or opening a line of credit, or by dipping into their retirement savings. Almost 15 per cent said they had remortgaged their house.

These numbers got worse when parents who are supporting elderly parents as well as adult kids were singled out. For example, the number of people remortgaging their homes almost doubled in this sub-group, and the number dipping into their retirement savings jumped to 45 per cent from 33 per cent. The term sandwich generation is used for people with dependent kids and parents, and it’s such an apt description.

The difficulties faced by young adults in becoming financially independent were documented in a package that The Globe and Mail ran last week. While plenty of Gen Yers are thriving, there are large numbers who are living with parents and/or receiving parental help to pay off student loans, cover monthly bills and buy houses. The root cause appears to be finding full-time, career-building jobs with a decent salary.

The CASA survey found parents expect their children to be financially independent at age 23, but believe they’ll hit the milestone at 25. Asked what’s causing this delay, 72 per cent cited the cost of postsecondary education as a major cause, 70 per cent listed the cost of housing, 57 per cent pointed to the lack of well-paying, stable jobs, 35 per cent cited the lack of ambition of young adults and 18 per cent put the blame on other parents “who won’t let their kids go.”

The survey found a clear sense among parents that they have a duty to help their adult kids financially. Almost three-quarters said parents should help cover the cost of a postsecondary education, and 70 per cent said parents have a responsibility to let adult children live at home to save money.

The level of actual parental support documented in the survey offers some fresh perspective on two of the defining personal finance narratives of our time – high debts and insufficient retirement savings. The cost of helping adult children isn’t close to driving either one of these issues, but it certainly bears watching.

Family finances aren’t elastic. If more money is going to 20- and 30-somethings unable to pay their bills, then it has to come from somewhere. Retirement savings should be the last place to scrounge up this money, but the CASA survey says it’s happening. Going into debt to help your kids is preferable, but only as the lesser of two unfortunate evils.

Parental support for Gen Y may also help explain why student debt levels haven’t spiked higher in recent years, despite rising tuition costs and a tough job market for young adults. Instead of borrowing more, students appear to be relying more on help from home.

CASA, the student group, has made a savvy decision by trying to learn more about how Gen Y’s problems are affecting parents. Talk to parents with adult children and you’ll find a high level of anxiety about their prospects for university and college graduates in today’s economy. But outside that group, there’s next to no interest at all.

The “poor young people” narrative has no traction, it seems. Maybe switching to “poor parents” will change that.

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Canadian homebuilding beats expectations in May – Aska vancouver mortgage broker

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housing-startsTORONTO — Canadian housing starts picked up more than expected in May and April was revised higher, suggesting housing will contribute to economic growth in the second quarter after a harsh winter put the brakes on construction, data released on Monday showed.

A report from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp showed the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of housing starts rose to 198,324 in May from an upwardly revised 196,687 units in April. That surpassed analysts’ expectations for a May reading of 185,000.

“Activity is picking back up to its pre-winter trend, another sign that it was the weather and not a fundamental slowdown that dampened Canadian growth in the last few months,” Bill Adams, senior international economist for PNC Financial Services Group, said in a statement.

“The trend so far in 2014 looks to be another year of activity more or less on par with 2013, and markedly lower than before the mid-2012 tightening of Canadian mortgage underwriting standards.”

While housing starts are within a healthy range now, a significant increase in months to come could catch the attention of Ottawa policymakers, said BMO economist Robert Kavcic.

“Canadian homebuilding activity has firmed up after a volatile winter. While current levels of starts are still within the range supported by fundamentals, a significant and sustained upward move from here could turn policymakers’ heads,” he said in a note Monday.

FP0610_HousingStarts_C_JRCanada’s housing market has risen unsteadily for the last five years and appears to be settling down for a soft landing, with housing starts slowing from red-hot 2012 levels in 2013 and maintaining the slower pace so far in 2014, on average.

The strong showing in April and May is likely a rebound from a weather-related slump in the winter, and took the two-month average 12.9 percent higher than the 175,000 recorded in the first three months of 2014, RBC economist Laura Cooper said in a research note.

“In the near-term, this rebound in residential investment is expected to lift overall GDP growth in the second quarter; however, with the weather-related volatility having likely now run its course, we anticipate that the pace of new home construction will cool once again over the second half of this year to levels similar to that averaged over the first half,” Cooper said.

May’s strength came from the single-detached housing sector, where starts rose 5.4%, as construction of multiples — typically condos — edged 0.8% lower.

The gains were fairly broad-based across the country, with starts in Quebec, British Columbia and the Atlantic region rising strongly, while Ontario was flat and the Prairies were lower.
© Thomson Reuters 2014

Credit unions take on banks in mortgage wars with rates as low as 2.69%- consult with a Vancouver mortgage broker

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mortgage-ratesThe latest salvo in mortgage rates wars among financial institutions appears to be coming from credit unions, free from federal regulation and ready to take on the banks.

How this man plans to be mortgage free by age 31

The 29-year-old pension analyst is $130,000 away from paying off his $425,000 home in Toronto, without money from parents or the lotto
DUCA Credit Union six weeks ago quietly opened up “DUCA Brokers Services” which has been funding brokers with rates as low as 2.79% on a five-year fixed rate loan. Some brokers are even eating into their own commission to buy down that rate to 2.69%.

At 2.69% for five years, it undercuts the efforts of the banks to compete. Bank of Montreal kicked off a new round of competition earlier this year with a 2.99% five-year rate and Bank of Nova Scotia went slightly lower to 2.97% for the same term.

“This new channel seeks to partner with the broker community as a virtual extension of our branches,” said Richard Senechal, DUCA’s chief executive, in an email.

DUCA is also guaranteeing its rate discounting within broker contracts to counter mild rate fluctuations. Based on the five-year government of Canada bond which mortgage rates are priced off, Duca’s spread is an almost unheard of 115 basis points.

The credit union is also not using underwriters in its broker service network but instead provides that network with certain guidelines to meet, DUCA itself employs people for fraud and number checks.

“This system allows for the efficiencies necessary for DUCA’s unequalled pricing,” said Mr. Senechal.

Rob McLister, editor of Canadian Mortgage Trends, said the DUCA model “is to cut out all the fat” and push more of the work onto brokers.

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“Brokers are now widely posting below-market rates on mortgage comparison sites,” said Mr. McLister, who also runs the site http://www.ratespy.com. “Consumers increasingly see those hyper-competitive rates and ask their bank to match them. If their bank doesn’t match, more and more are taking their business to online brokers. Right now, online mortgage brokers are a speck of dust in terms of market share. But their impact on the market is disproportionately profound because lenders and consumers use their rates as benchmark.”

He says credit unions only have to answer to customers and shareholders and that could allow them to ultimately control a larger segment of the market over time. Credit Union Central of Canada, the national trade association of the industry, notes credit unions only have about 7% of the residential loan market.

But they do have the advantage of not being regulated by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions which last year implemented strict guidelines for loans with less than 20% down that included rules on better loan documentation, income documentation and tighter debt services ratios.

Peter Routledge, an analyst with National Bank who follows the industry, noted credit unions with loans that require mortgage default insurance are still subject to federal guidelines because companies in that sector like Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. are regulated by OSFI.

“For the last two years and maybe like the next year it may seem like credit unions are getting an easier ride,” said Mr. Routledge, adding credit unions must also meet federal guidelines for any loans they want to securitize which narrows any advantage.

Ryan McKinley, senior mortgage development manager with VanCity a British Columbia credit union, said the the gap between federal and provincial rules does allow credit unions to compete on some products the banks can’t provide.

“Credit unions can offer some products that federal institutions can’t offer,” said Mr. McKinley, pointing to deals that allow cash back for down payment and longer amortizations.

Another aspect of credit unions not available from banks is an ability to share in dividends which ultimately lower your effective mortgage rate because you are getting cash back. VanCity’s 3.04% current five-year mortgage could be lower depending on its financial success.

“It does factor into the pricing,” said Mr. McKinley.

Meanwhile, the other factor that just might take rates even lower could be yields falling in the bond market.

Benjamin Tal, deputy chief economist with CIBC, wouldn’t rules out the possibility that rates could go even lower.

“In the long term, they’ll go up but I think they could shrink even more for now,” said Mr. Tal.

Low loonie lifts cottage sales after chilly start to season – Consult with a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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imageOne of the nation’s largest real estate company says recreational property sales are finally starting to pick up after a tough winter and slow start to the season.

In Toronto’s housing market, ‘$2-million is the new $1-million’

Try not to panic if you haven’t bought yet but the $2-million home is a growing segment of the market in Canada’s largest city. Find out more Based on a survey of its brokers who specialize in the market, Royal LePage says inventory levels are rising along with sales.

“Advisors across the country are reporting a significant increase in buyer interest and are anticipating the return of a healthy market for the remainder of the spring and summer. In many areas, snow remained well into the spring, hampering efforts to open and list summer properties, but sellers and buyers returned following the Victoria Day long weekend,” according to a release, which does not cite any sales statistics.

Related Vancouver realtors say there hasn’t been this much home buyer demand in three years Sotheby’s offers private jet, helicopter service to woo luxury homebuyers to Calgary How to prepare your home for a quick, profitable, summer sale Phil Soper, chief executive of LePage, says Baby Boomers had previously driven sale activity to record levels in the middle of the last decade.

“The subsequent economic downturn dampened demand in the sector,” said Mr. Soper, in the release. “Post-recession, our research found that incremental sales were driven largely by low interest rates and investors. With the 2014 market, we are seeing a return to primarily lifestyle-driven demand for cottages, cabins and chalets. Canadians continue to seek the opportunity to escape to a weekend retreat.”

LePage said a stable job market, low rates and consumers confidence are all in place to continue to drive the cottage market.

The Canadian market has also benefitted from a recovery in prices for recreational properties south of the border.

“U.S. regions favoured by Canadians, such as Arizona, Florida and California, coupled with a lower Canadian dollar relative to the American currency, is beginning to impact our domestic recreational market,” said Mr. Soper. “People who were previously wooed by bargain shopping for real estate south of the border are finding the real deals are now at home.”

The report states the higher-priced end of the market is seeing “healthy-price growth” in Ontario, Manitoba and Saskatchewan. LePage says there At “particularly good deals” at the lower end on in-land properties in Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and some interior regions of British Columbia.

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It could become a growing solution to our retirement savings problems, but opponents of reverse mortgages warn their spike in popularity cimageould mean shrinking inheritances.

HomEquity Bank, which is owned by Birch Hill Equity Partners, and is behind the Canadian Home Income Plan, said reverse mortgages are up 26% year-to-date compared to the same period a year ago. It’s still a relatively tiny chunk of the 5.5 million mortgages outstanding, considering HomEquity only expects to issue about 3,000 reverse mortgages this year.

Related How to prepare your home for a quick, profitable, summer sale How record low interest rates are helping us pay off our mortgages faster A mortgage rate below 2% — but be ready for some surprises But is it a solution for people whose retirement savings don’t match their retirement spending? The interest costs, which are generally above market rates for a traditional mortgage, will ultimately eat into home equity and not leave much behind for heirs.

“A reverse mortgage is the last, last choice I consider for my clients,” says Lise Andreana, a certified financial planner with Continuum II Inc. who is based in Niagara-on-the-Lake. “It’s basically when they’re running out of money to live on.”

Jeff Spencer, vice-president of national sales for HomEquity Bank, says he’s heard it all before. He thinks it’s time Canadians start thinking about their home as part of their financial plan and incorporate a reverse mortgage into their strategy.

CARP, which represents retired Canadians, says two-thirds of the workforce — or about 12 millions working Canadians — do not have a workplace pension plan. Faced with a savings shortfall for retirement, their house can fill the gap.

“We think real estate needs to be treated very differently in a retirement plan. It’s not a passive asset but an active asset that is utilized at the start of retirement,” said Mr. Spencer, adding his company has created a new plan that starts delivering cash flow as soon as you retire as opposed to when you run out of cash.

The advantage of a reverse mortgage is you can take money out of your home and it is not taxed, which allows you to deplete your registered retirement income fund at a slower pace and potentially put yourself in a lower tax bracket. It might even help avoid clawbacks to Old Age Security by lowering your income threshold.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. says reverse mortgages have been around since 1986 and generally allow you to take anywhere from 10% to 40% of the equity out of your house with the caveat that your interest rate will be about 150 basis points above the conventional rate for a five-year mortgage.

Mr. Spencer paints a scenario where a client might have a $1-million house paid off at 65 and qualify for a $350,000 mortgage. You could divide that amount over say 25 years.

“You might offset any type of interest you might accumulate on the reverse mortgage [with tax savings],” he says, acknowledging clients pay about 1.5 more percentage points above prime. “More importantly, it extends the horizon time on your portfolio.”

He says with life expectancy on the rise, this type of planning is going to become necessary or people are simply going to run out of money.

“When people retired at 65 and had a life expectancy of 75, we didn’t have to get too complicated with their retirement plan. They wouldn’t go through their investable assets even,” said Mr. Spencer. “But when you are retired as long as you are working, you need to utilize all of your assets.’

Plus, the real issue is people don’t want to leave their homes until they have to which is something a reverse mortgage accomplishes.

Ms. Andreana cautions if you do get a reverse mortgage, make sure both spouses names are on the contract because you can be pushed out after the spouse with the mortgage dies otherwise.

Still, she thinks the reverse mortgage could take off because people who are retired now are finding they are not making it financially. “They are in retirement for 10 years and their savings are running out and inflation is eating away at the lifestyle they’ve become accustomed to.”

Her recommendation is not the reverse mortgage but rather to sell your house outright if you can “stomach” the idea of moving. “You can only get so much money out of a reverse mortgage,” says the financial planner.

Phil Soper, the chief executive of Royal LePage Real Estate Services, agrees it is an expensive way to borrow but he can see the option making sense in some circumstances.

“You have someone who is older and quite sure they want to live in their home for an extended period of time and have limited other resources to draw upon,” he says, adding that the higher rate has to compensate for risk to the lender that your house could drop in value or you end up living in it longer than anticipated.

“In Canada, it’s been a pretty safe bet for reverse mortgage providers because over the long term, homes have risen 4% to 5% [annually],” says Mr. Soper.

As for the future, based on the strength of the housing market and the low savings rate, Mr. Soper says reverse mortgages just might become more popular.

“Conceptually, reverse mortgages are a way for people to consume the equity they have built up in their lifetime,” said Mr. Soper, who believes you provide for your children all your life so that home is yours. “If their wealth is tied up in their home, it will be something to consider.”

Housing market 10% overvalued in Canada amid condo risks, data uncertainty: TD executive – Ask a Vancouver Mortgage Broker

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imageTORONTO — Canada’s housing market is 10% overvalued, with the biggest risks in condominium overbuilding and uncertainty over how many investors are buying, but the risk of a U.S.-style collapse is low, a top executive at Canada’s second largest bank said on Monday.

Lisa Reikman, chief risk officer of Canadian banking at Toronto-Dominion Bank, said a spike in interest rates or unemployment could threaten Canada’s robust housing market, but the risk is fairly low.

Instead, TD Bank, one of the country’s top three mortgage lenders and a growing retail banking presence on the U.S. East Coast, is watching house appreciation and the growing supply of condominiums.

“The high-rise condo market is an area we’re certainly watching closely, and I think all of the other banks, as well and the regulator, (are watching),” Ms. Reikman said in an interview.

“Just by virtue of the fact there is a lot of new construction of high-rise condos, and there are some questions around … how many of those are being purchased by investors as opposed to people (who) are actually living in them as a primary residence,” she told Reuters.

Related Here’s why paying off your mortgage isn’t always the best idea Canada housing correction could trigger another recession, BMO report says Foreign investors have helped drive up Canadian real estate prices by parking their money in relatively cheap and plentiful real estate, but some fear that a sudden withdrawal of investors could leave a glut of condos and falling prices.

Ms. Reikman said the banks do not have much better data on investors than anyone else does.

“The data on that is less than perfect, so we don’t have a perfect line of sight … we rely on the buyer to basically be upfront and let us know if they are buying it to own or if they are buying it as an investment property,” she said. “You’ll find that that’s probably one area that all the banks will say is difficult to tell, as will the builders.”

While foreign observers, including the International Monetary Fund and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, have warned that Canada’s housing market is among the most overvalued in the world, the nation’s major banks have been more sanguine, saying there are structural reasons why the high prices are mores sustainable than they may appear.

“We think the (overvaluation) number might be — generally across the Canadian market — maybe about 10%, as opposed (to) the numbers we’ve seen from some of (those) external to Canada, anywhere between 30-to-60%,” she said.

The Canadian market cannot be compared to the U.S. sector before its collapse due to several factors: Canada’s requirement of insurance for mortgages with less than 80% loan-to-value; conservative underwriting standards; a tiny subprime market, and Canadian lenders typically keeping mortgage on their books, Ms. Reikman said.

“We look at all of those things and think there are some pretty fundamental reasons why the U.S.-style collapse can’t happen here or is highly unlikely to happen here,” she said.

© Thomson Reuters 2014

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